![]() ![]() 4 in EPA allowed in the opening five games to No. Even the Cowboys’ 24-6 win over Detroit could have been much worse if not for the Lions leaving points on the table with red-zone blunders and turnovers. But the Vikings have extended their streak to seven games, and those last three wins - Arizona, Washington, and Buffalo - have made me a believer.Īs for Dallas, this once-dangerous defense has been showing cracks in the foundation for the past four games. ![]() I’ll admit, I was skeptical of Minnesota as the wins started stacking up. It was very much a grab for the best of the number, knowing that the contrasting public perception of these two teams would shrink this spread by Sunday. This game was the first bet I made in Week 11, taking the opener of Minnesota +2.5 on Sunday night. Robert Salah may not add Gillette Stadium to the list, but he can keep his team within a field goal.ĭallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings (+1.5) pick The J-E-T-S don’t have the best track record when it comes to visiting Bill Belichick (6-18 SU, 12-11-1 ATS since 2000), but this 2022 team has already gone into some of the more historically tougher venues in the NFL and came away with wins at Pittsburgh, Green Bay, and the thin air of Denver. 2 in that measurement - just behind New England at No. Shrink that to the past five outings, and the Jets are No. 8 in EPA allowed per play so far in 2022. Overall, this New York defense ranks among the elite in terms of advanced metrics, sitting No. New York limited the Pats to 3.8 yards per play, checked them to 1-for-3 success inside the red zone, and forced New England to settle for five field goals. The Jets' defense did a solid job against New England as well, in spite of being on the field for 35:34. Three interceptions from QB Zach Wilson were the ultimate decider and clouded what was Wilson’s biggest passing output of his short career (355 yards). Gang Green lost 22-17 at home to New England in Week 8, despite outgaining the Pats by 93 yards and picking up 6.7 yards per play against one of the stingiest defenses in the AFC. The Jets and Patriots mix it up for the second time in three games (with a bye for both teams last week), with New York moving from +5 to as low as +3 at some books. That means we go back to the drawing board for our third NFL Underdogs selection in Week 11. And with the Bills now hitting the fast indoor track in Motown, I don’t want anything to do with the re-opened odds of Browns +7.5. With the Browns-Bills game being moved to Detroit due to the impending snowstorm in Buffalo this weekend, my wager on Cleveland +9 was cancelled faster than Kanye West. ![]() New York Jets (+3.5) at New England Patriots pick Also, check out our full list of NFL promo codes for 2022. Looking to bet on some NFL action? Here are two of the best bonuses* available:Ī) New users at FanDuel can get a no-sweat first bet of up to $1,000! Sign Up Nowī) New users at DraftKings can bet $5 and get $200 in free bets! Sign Up Now ( Editor's Note: These picks were made prior to Thursday afternoon's news that Browns-Bills would be played in Detroit.) NFL picks against the spread for Week 11Ĭlick on each pick to jump to the full analysis. I dig through that pile of points, along with some winter weather, for my three favorite free NFL underdogs picks this weekend. That really puts the pressure on, with the annual holiday marking the home stretch of the NFL season: a starting gun for teams in the postseason race and an “Old Yeller” behind-the-shed BANG for those clubs not in contention.īut before that benchmark in mixed motivations, Week 11 serves as the last gasp for glory for many teams - plenty of which find themselves installed as NFL betting underdogs. ![]() We’re so close to Thanksgiving, you can almost smell the turkey and feel the sting of mom’s passive-aggressive judgments on your life choices.Īnd speaking of questionable choices, my NFL Underdogs picks and predictions came up lame last week. ![]()
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